Introduction
Since initial reports were published on the
development of the smart grid, it has become increasingly clear that conventional
wisdom is being challenged by new entrants. At first sight, this appeared to be
alternative suppliers providing the same services as major suppliers. However,
it is argued here, evidence is growing that suppliers are actually promoting a
wholly alternative business model.
Features and benefits
·
Overview of the
“standard narrative” in respect of home energy management systems.
·
Review of HEMS
developments on a region-by-region basis and comparison of regional strategy.
·
Factors impeding
development of the vision.
·
Disruptive factors –
specifically, the development of cloud services in this area.
·
Alternative frameworks
for the development of home energy management systems; likely providers.
Highlights
The development of home energy management
systems is highly variable by region, in large part due to the different start
points of various economies. Further development will continue to reflect this,
with economies such as China focused on infrastructure development and the US
and OECD more concerned with the dissemination of smart appliances.
Different countries are also promoting a range
of different political strategies in an effort to help their industries to
strategic dominance in this area: Japan is one of the most interventionist
nations in this respect.
Development of smart grid in general and HEMS in
particular is creating a need for a range of new niche service providers (data
management, security, control, and networking systems), and these are
frequently being provided by new and smaller entrants to the marketplace.
Your key questions answered
·
What is the current
vision for HEMS development globally?
·
How is this playing out
on a region-by-region basis, and how are individual nations adapting their
political strategies to create business advantage?
·
What are the main
obstacles to business development in this area?
·
Which are the key
“interlopers” and disruptive influences (e.g. cloud services)?
·
What are the key
concerns of consumers?
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Table of Contents
About the authors
Professor Merlin Stone
Jane Fae Ozimek
Disclaimer
Professor Merlin Stone
Jane Fae Ozimek
Disclaimer
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Report outline
Defining the opportunity: smart 1.0
Sizing the opportunity
National perspectives
The smart 1.1 ecosystem: new suppliers
Business issues
The consumer perspective
Alternative models
Report outline
Defining the opportunity: smart 1.0
Sizing the opportunity
National perspectives
The smart 1.1 ecosystem: new suppliers
Business issues
The consumer perspective
Alternative models
Report outline
Caveats in respect of the optimistic scenario
Caveats in respect of the optimistic scenario
Defining the opportunity: smart
1.0
Traditional value chain
Alternative value chains
Benefit case
The home energy management system, by function
Smart 1.0 delivery: key roles
Traditional value chain
Alternative value chains
Benefit case
The home energy management system, by function
Smart 1.0 delivery: key roles
Sizing the opportunity
Overall size of market(s)
Overall size of market(s)
National perspectives
Europe
Support
Progress
Detail
Context and insight
US
Context and insight
China
Context and insight
Japan
Context and insight
India/Brazil
Europe
Support
Progress
Detail
Context and insight
US
Context and insight
China
Context and insight
Japan
Context and insight
India/Brazil
The smart 1.1 ecosystem: new
suppliers
Areas for growth: new support services
Data analysis
CRM enablement/enhancement
Connectivity and integration
Alliances
New solutions
Mature vs developing technologies: obsolescence
Areas for growth: new support services
Data analysis
CRM enablement/enhancement
Connectivity and integration
Alliances
New solutions
Mature vs developing technologies: obsolescence
Business issues
First to blink: which technology?
Lock out?
Issues of speed, complexity, and systems
Security
The role of standards
Market limits: critical path issues
Misinterpretation: “hype”
Squaring the utility circle
Focus on limited achievable objectives
First to blink: which technology?
Lock out?
Issues of speed, complexity, and systems
Security
The role of standards
Market limits: critical path issues
Misinterpretation: “hype”
Squaring the utility circle
Focus on limited achievable objectives
The consumer perspective
Perceived needs
The need for a step change
More information: more savings
Actionable information leads to action
Consumers pay for utility benefit
Consumers opt for 80/20 benefits
Perceived needs
The need for a step change
More information: more savings
Actionable information leads to action
Consumers pay for utility benefit
Consumers opt for 80/20 benefits
Alternative models
smart 2.0: the smart home, bottom-up
Alternative models
smart 2.0: the smart home, bottom-up
Alternative models
Appendix
Glossary/abbreviations
Bibliography/references
Glossary/abbreviations
Bibliography/references
List Of Tables
Table: Future investors in the smart grid (rank order by
country), 2010
Table: Western European smart home systems and services market forecast ($bn), 2011–17
Table: Forecast highlights for smart grid-related future in the US
Table: SGCC Strengthened Smart Grid Plan, 2009–20
Table: Japan smart grid market value forecasts, by technology ($m), 2011–16
Table: Conflicting assessment of the benefits of smart home energy management: consumers vs energy providers
Table: Four models of HEMS development
Table: Western European smart home systems and services market forecast ($bn), 2011–17
Table: Forecast highlights for smart grid-related future in the US
Table: SGCC Strengthened Smart Grid Plan, 2009–20
Table: Japan smart grid market value forecasts, by technology ($m), 2011–16
Table: Conflicting assessment of the benefits of smart home energy management: consumers vs energy providers
Table: Four models of HEMS development
List Of Figures
Figure: Traditional versus smart grid structure, 2011
Figure: New vs old value chains, 2009
Figure: Home energy management box in the home, 2012
Figure: Western European smart home systems and services market forecast ($bn), 2011–17
Figure: SGCC Strengthened Smart Grid Plan spend, by phase ($bn), 2009–20
Figure: Japan smart grid market value forecasts, by technology ($m), 2011–16
Figure: Schematic for a wireless (ZigBee) HAN served by both a broadband Internet gateway and an AMI network
Figure: New vs old value chains, 2009
Figure: Home energy management box in the home, 2012
Figure: Western European smart home systems and services market forecast ($bn), 2011–17
Figure: SGCC Strengthened Smart Grid Plan spend, by phase ($bn), 2009–20
Figure: Japan smart grid market value forecasts, by technology ($m), 2011–16
Figure: Schematic for a wireless (ZigBee) HAN served by both a broadband Internet gateway and an AMI network
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